Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio

New York Stock Exchange
USD
3 January 1972  –  20 November 2024

Performance

Annualized Return
9.71%
Sharpe Ratio
0.6
Maximum Drawdown
-49.97%

Metrics

Metric Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio
Initial Balance $10,000
Final Balance $1,351,170
Returns   [View more details]
Month-To-Date 1.74%
Year-To-Date 168.57%
3M 143.57%
6M 153.53%
Annual Return (3Y) 36.22%
Annual Return (5Y) 27.35%
Annual Return (All) 9.71%
Risk   [View more details]
Annual Volatility 17.41%
Max Drawdown -49.97%
Sharpe Ratio 0.6
Sortino Ratio 1.33
Adjusted Sortino (S/√2) 0.94

  • Initial balance: The amount of starting capital used to invest in the asset or portfolio. In this case, we're starting with a $10,000 investment on January 1972.
  • Final balance: The amount of capital we've accrued over time as of November 2024.
  • Annual return: Also known as annualized return, or CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate), measures how much an investment has increased on average each year, during a specific time period. The time period in this case is approximately 53 year(s). Even a small difference in return can have a big impact on the final balance over a long period of time.
  • Annual volatility: Basically indicates how much, in percentage points, the investment can deviate from its annual return, under most circumstances. An investment with an annual return of 5% and an annual volatility of 10% would indicate returns from approximately -5% to 15% most of the time. A lower volatility is usually preferred to ensure more steady returns over time.
  • Best year: The best performance attained over its lifetime in a given year.
  • Worst year: The worst performance undergone over its lifetime in a given year.
  • Max drawdown: The largest percentage drop from a peak to a trough of an asset or portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period.
  • Sharpe Ratio: The Sharpe ratio measures the performance of an investment compared to a risk-free asset, after adjusting for its risk. A Sharpe Ratio above 1 is considered good.
  • Sortino Ratio: The Sortino Ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that only penalizes the investment for negative volatility/outcomes, and not for positive volatility. A Sortino Ratio above 1 is considered good.
  • Adjusted Sortino Ratio: Sortino Ratio/√2. To allow for comparing the Sortino ratio to the Sharpe ratio, we multiply the risk measure of the Sortino ratio by the square root of 2 (which is the same as dividing the Sortino ratio by the square root of 2).
  • Ulcer Index: The Ulcer Index (UI) is a technical indicator that measures downside risk in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines.
  • Gain to Pain Ratio: The sum of all returns divided by the absolute value of the sum of all negative returns. In essence, the GPR shows the ratio of net returns to the losses incurred in getting those returns.

Annualized Returns

Annual Return 1y Annual Return 3y Annual Return 5y Annual Return 10y Annual Return 20y Annual Return
Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio 183.55 36.22 27.35 15.74 10.22 9.71

Annual Returns

Year Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio
1972 17.22%
1973 -12.94%
1974 -19.54%
1975 29.06%
1976 19.77%
1977 3.99%
1978 11.85%
1979 14.7%
1980 22.98%
1981 -1.03%
1982 17.81%
1983 20.09%
1984 8.09%
1985 34.21%
1986 28.28%
1987 4.86%
1988 15.73%
1989 17.88%
1990 -9.88%
1991 23.12%
1992 1.58%
1993 12.84%
1994 -2.25%
1995 20.75%
1996 12.12%
1997 15.12%
1998 13.34%
1999 14.65%
2000 -6.64%
2001 -10.29%
2002 -13.92%
2003 24.99%
2004 12.08%
2005 5.42%
2006 14.82%
2007 2.71%
2008 -31%
2009 20.5%
2010 11.5%
2011 -2.56%
2012 11.79%
2013 18.53%
2014 5.95%
2015 -1.68%
2016 5.67%
2017 15.21%
2018 -8.5%
2019 21.53%
2020 11.49%
2021 16.05%
2022 -19.34%
2023 16.38%
2024 168.57%

Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio had 40 positive years and 13 negative years. That's a positive ratio of 75%.

Monthly Returns

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD
1972 2.5% 3.2% 0.4% 1.9% 0.9% -1% 1.7% 1.8% -0.9% 0.5% 4% 1.2% 17.2%
1973 -0.6% -0.4% 0.1% -3.9% -0.5% 0.4% 2.4% -3.1% 2.5% 0.7% -10.3% -0.4% -12.9%
1974 0.7% 1.2% -1.8% -1.9% -3.2% -1.8% -5.2% -6.7% -6.6% 7.6% -1.4% -1.6% -19.5%
1975 12.1% 6.5% 1.5% 3.8% 2.5% 2.3% -4.3% -1.3% -3.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.2% 29.1%
1976 8.4% 0.8% 1.3% -0.4% -0.5% 2.4% -0.2% 0.5% 1.2% -2% 1.1% 6% 19.8%
1977 -1.6% -0.2% -0.4% 1% -0.6% 3.2% -1% 0.4% 0.8% -1.2% 2.1% 1.4% 4%
1978 -2.6% -0.1% 3.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 5.2% 2.9% 0.3% -4.5% -1% 2.3% 11.9%
1979 2.9% -1.5% 4.1% 0.4% -1.3% 3.3% 1.5% 4.8% 0.6% -6.5% 3.6% 2.3% 14.7%
1980 4.7% -0.3% -9.1% 4.5% 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 4.3% -1.3% 23%
1981 -2.1% 0.6% 3.3% 0.3% -0.5% 0% -1% -2.6% -5.5% 3.6% 4.9% -1.5% -1%
1982 -0.8% -3.4% -1.2% 4.3% -0.7% -2.8% -0.7% 6.3% 1.6% 6.7% 5.3% 2.7% 17.8%
1983 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 5.4% 0.7% 2.7% -1.6% -0.2% 1.7% -0.9% 2.2% 0.9% 20.1%
1984 1.1% -1.4% 3.1% 0.1% -4.9% 1.5% -2.4% 7.7% 0.5% 1.1% -0.1% 2% 8.1%
1985 5.4% 1.3% 2% 0.1% 4.4% 1.8% 1.6% 0.6% -0.3% 4.5% 4.5% 4% 34.2%
1986 1.7% 6.7% 6.9% 1.5% 1.2% 3.2% -1% 6.1% -3.8% 0.6% 2.5% 0.2% 28.3%
1987 9.1% 3.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0% 1.7% 1.9% 3.6% -2.1% -15.6% -3.6% 4.5% 4.9%
1988 3.4% 4.6% 0.1% 0.6% -1.1% 2.5% 0.2% -3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 0.2% 1.2% 15.7%
1989 3.9% -1.1% 0.6% 3% 1.4% -0.1% 7.3% -0.2% 0.8% -2.3% 1.9% 1.6% 17.9%
1990 -5.1% -1.1% -1.3% -2% 7.3% -0.2% -0.3% -7.8% -6% 2.2% 2.9% 2% -9.9%
1991 4.2% 6.4% 2% -0.7% 2.4% -4.2% 3.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% -2.9% 7.7% 23.1%
1992 -0.9% -0.5% -2.9% 1.6% 2.3% -2.1% 2% 0.3% 0.2% -1% 2.2% 0.4% 1.6%
1993 1% 1.2% 3.2% 0.8% 1.3% 0.6% 1% 3.8% -0.5% 1.4% -4% 2.5% 12.8%
1994 3.9% -1.7% -4.4% 1.2% 0.2% -1.5% 2% 2.7% -2.6% 1.2% -3.7% 0.8% -2.3%
1995 0.2% 2.4% 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 1.1% 3.3% -0.1% 2.3% -1.3% 2.7% 1.5% 20.8%
1996 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.7% 0.9% -0.2% -3.4% 1.8% 3.4% 1% 5% -0.9% 12.1%
1997 1.7% 0.2% -2.7% 2.2% 5.3% 3.7% 5% -3.9% 4.9% -3.5% 1.7% 0.3% 15.1%
1998 1.3% 4.8% 3.1% 0.5% -1.5% 1.8% -1.4% -11.3% 2.8% 5.8% 4.4% 3.4% 13.3%
1999 1.5% -3% 2.4% 4% -1.1% 1.6% -1.3% -0.3% -1.4% 3.8% 2.5% 5.4% 14.7%
2000 -3.6% 1.9% 3.8% -3.4% -2.2% 3.3% -1% 3.5% -3.3% -1.9% -5.2% 1.8% -6.6%
2001 2.3% -6.5% -4.9% 5.6% -0.2% -1.3% -1.1% -2.9% -6.8% 1.5% 4.3% 0.1% -10.3%
2002 -1.7% -0.4% 3% -1.8% -0% -4.1% -6.6% 0.6% -7.4% 3.7% 3.8% -3.2% -13.9%
2003 -2.7% -0.9% -0.3% 6.8% 5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 0.7% 4.5% 1.7% 3.5% 25%
2004 2.1% 1.6% -0% -3.6% 1.3% 1.7% -2.4% 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 4.1% 2.4% 12.1%
2005 -2.2% 2.1% -2.1% -0.8% 2.1% 0.9% 3.2% 0.1% 1% -2.3% 3% 0.5% 5.4%
2006 3.7% 0.1% 1.8% 1.2% -2.7% 0.1% 0.7% 2.3% 1.2% 3.2% 2.4% 0% 14.8%
2007 1.9% -0.7% 0.7% 2.9% 2.1% -1.9% -2.7% 1.3% 3.2% 2.3% -3.6% -2.4% 2.7%
2008 -4.3% -1.8% -0.1% 4.1% 0.9% -7.2% -0.8% 0.1% -7.6% -16.1% -6.1% 4.3% -31%
2009 -9.1% -9.2% 5.9% 10% 6% -0.7% 7.3% 4.2% 3.5% -2.4% 4.5% 0.9% 20.5%
2010 -3.1% 2.2% 5.1% 1.2% -6.8% -3.6% 6.8% -3% 6.7% 3.3% -1.3% 4.5% 11.5%
2011 1.8% 3% -0.8% 3.6% -0.9% -1.8% -1.3% -5.2% -7.2% 8.6% -1.1% -0.4% -2.6%
2012 4.4% 3.1% 1.6% -0.5% -5.9% 3.7% 0.9% 2% 1% -0.8% 1% 1.2% 11.8%
2013 3.7% 0.5% 2.1% 2.7% -0.4% -2.4% 4.2% -2.7% 3.9% 3.4% 1.1% 1.3% 18.5%
2014 -2.1% 4.2% -0.3% 0.8% 1.8% 1.1% -1.6% 2.5% -3% 2.3% 1.5% -1.1% 6%
2015 -0.2% 3.7% -1% 0.7% 0.5% -2.6% 1.7% -5.3% -2.4% 5.8% -0.1% -2% -1.7%
2016 -4.1% -0.6% 5.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0% 3.3% -0.2% -0.1% -2.3% 1.2% 1.4% 5.7%
2017 1.8% 2.4% 0.2% 1.2% 1.4% 0.2% 1.8% 0.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 0.5% 15.2%
2018 3.1% -3.9% -1% 0.4% 1.3% -0.3% 2.2% 1.6% -0.4% -6.1% 1.6% -6.7% -8.5%
2019 7.1% 2.3% 1.2% 2.5% -4.2% 4.7% 0.4% -0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2% 1.7% 21.5%
2020 -0.2% -5.9% -12% 8.6% 4% 1.8% 3.9% 4.5% -2.7% -2.1% 9.9% 3.4% 11.5%
2021 -0.5% 2% 2.3% 4% 1.2% 1% 1.6% 1.9% -4% 4.7% -2% 3.1% 16.1%
2022 -4.9% -2.4% 1.4% -7.1% 0% -7.5% 6.8% -4.3% -8.9% 5.1% 6.6% -4.5% -19.3%
2023 7% -3.1% 2% 1.3% -1.3% 4.3% 2.7% -2.3% -4.7% -2.7% 8.5% 4.7% 16.4%
2024 -0.2% 3% 2.4% -4.1% 4.1% 1% 2.6% 2.4% 142% -2.3% 1.7% - 168.6%
Pos 60.4% 56.6% 66% 77.4% 60.4% 62.3% 60.4% 60.4% 54.7% 62.3% 71.7% 76.9% 75.5%
Avg 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 1% 0.2% 2% 0.5% 1.4% 1.2% 11.8%

Other Return Metrics

Metric Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio
Cumulative Return 13411.7%
Enh Ann Return 9.53%
Best Year 168.57%
Worst Year -31%
Best Month 142.04%
Worst Month -16.07%
Best Day 94.62%
Worst Day -8.73%
Win Ratio (Yearly) 75.47%
Win Ratio (Quarterly) 70.75%
Win Ratio (Monthly) 64.09%
Win Ratio (Daily) 56.95%

Annual Volatility

Annual Volatility 1y Annual Volatility 3y Annual Volatility 5y Annual Volatility 10y Annual Volatility 20y Annual Volatility
Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio 97.8 58.05 46.63 33.75 26.64 17.41

Sharpe Ratio

Sharpe Ratio 1y Sharpe Ratio 3y Sharpe Ratio 5y Sharpe Ratio 10y Sharpe Ratio 20y Sharpe Ratio
Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio 1.38 0.73 0.68 0.55 0.47 0.6

3-Year Rolling Sharpe Ratio

The rolling Sharpe Ratio gives a clue about the continued consistency or stability of the risk-adjusted returns.

Drawdown Periods

Simply said, a drawdown is the "pain" period experienced by an investor between a peak (new highs) and subsequent valley (a low point before moving higher). In the table below are the fifth largest drawdowns encountered for the portfolio/asset in question.

Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio

Start Valley End Days Drawdown
2007-10-10 2009-03-09 2013-03-05 1973 -49.97%
2000-03-27 2002-10-09 2005-07-20 1941 -35.91%
1973-01-02 1974-09-30 1976-03-22 1175 -32.94%
2020-02-18 2020-03-23 2020-08-28 192 -28.79%
2021-11-09 2022-10-14 2024-07-05 969 -25.74%

The Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio took approximately 42 months on average to recover from a major drawdown. The longest drawdown lasted 66 months.

Underwater plot

The underwater plot shows you the drawdown periods on a chart. Whereas the performance chart usually gives you a positive viewpoint, the underwater plot gives you a pessimistic viewpoint. It helps you to visualize downtrends that occurred and how long it took for the portfolio's value to rebound to hit a new high after suffering a loss.

Other Risk Metrics

Metric Rick Ferri Core Four Portfolio
Sharpe Ratio 0.6
Sortino Ratio 1.33
Adjusted Sortino (S/√2) 0.94
Calmar Ratio 0.19
Omega Ratio 1.23
Gain to Pain Ratio 0.23
Ulcer Index 0.1
Kelly Criterion 10.54%
Skew 48.73
Kurtosis 4166.79
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